Saturday, August 20, 2011
Its Prediction Time....
With just two weeks till kick off, time to make the yearly prediction on Alabama Football. Of course the Tide is in position to start pre season top 5 in almost every major poll, so the expectations are in place to make another run to the BCS Title Game. Of course, 'Bama plays in the SEC West, which is more competitive and tougher then the NFC West, so even a 1 loss SEC team like an Alabama or LSU could make it to New Orleans in January. Alabama should be loaded on Defense as the biggest questions surround the D-Line and the who will be the quarterback. If qb questions linger into SEC play, that could be a problem.
Game 1-Kent State- the most competitive thing about this contest will be to see how many fans can withstand the 11:21 am kick-off and not dehydrate on a hot Labor Day weekend morning/afternoon. Bama wins easily but Saban won't run the score up on the alma mater, 34-7.
Game 2-at Penn State- The Lions have a white out planned (ask Georgia & Mississippi State how they're gimmick colored shirt things worked in 2009??) to help their team to victory. Alabama is a 9 point favorite on the road in State College but the bigger issue here is how will either of Tide's new quarterbacks handle their first road game. Despite reports that say PSU is going to be horrible, I refuse to buy that and believe this will be a nail biter, Alabama 17-16.
Game 3-North Texas-another no contest, 'Bama 41-6.
Game 4-Arkansas- The Hogs had Alabama dead in the water until Ryan Mallet self destructed and Mark Ingram saved the day. Everybody is in love with Arky's QB because he threw a couple of TD against Auburn to keep them in that game, but all I see is another Garret Gilbert from Texas when I watch him. Meaning he got lucky and hit a couple of deep routes as freshman pressed into action, but is still a very unproven commodity. 'Bama 24-14.
Game 5-at Florida- Road game in the Swamp on a Saturday night has the makings for upset potential. But unless Steve Spurrier is coaching or Tim Tebow is playing at Florida, and neither of those are happening so the Gators won't be winning this game. 'Bama 20-13.
Game 6-Vanderbilt- If this game was played at Memorial Gym, Vandy would win, but its in Bryant-Denny. Alabama 38-10.
Game 7-at Ole Miss- The Rebels always give Alabama fits in Oxford, but unless Archie or Eli Manning is the quarterback, they have a hard time beating Alabama. Tide sweats out a close one, 24-20.
Game 8-Tennessee- The Vols will be improved but Derek Dooley is still a year away from being competitive against the SEC heavyweights. Make it 5 in a row over the Vols, 'Bama 27-10.
Game 9- LSU- after a bye week, the most physical game on the schedule takes place. Alot of people have LSU playing for a National Title, but I don't see it. Alabama 20-10.
Game 10-at Mississippi State- This game has upset written all over it as MSU is improving quickly and gets 'Bama & LSU at home this year. This will be a difficult task for the Tide to win this one a week after LSU. Miss State 24-16.
Game 11-Ga. Southern- a win but closer then expected due to GSU's offensive system. Alabama 38-17.
Game 12-at Auburn- The Tigers will struggle this year to have a winning season, but they'll be "all in" vs Alabama. Close game but 'Bama escapes 27-23.
11-1 when we're all said and done. As for the SEC West, I believe Miss. State is a real player in this race along with LSU and 'Bama. The Penn State game scares me as that could go either way but won't affect SEC play though. Should be a fun season as 'Bama tries to rebound from a "disappointing" 10-3 season.